SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 54.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 21.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Rostov win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sochi | Draw | Rostov |
54.96% ( -0) | 23.53% | 21.51% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.3% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.93% ( 0.01) | 48.08% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.76% ( 0.01) | 70.24% ( -0) |
| Sochi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.64% ( 0) | 17.36% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.24% ( 0) | 47.76% ( 0) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.28% ( 0.01) | 36.72% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.5% ( 0.01) | 73.5% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sochi | Draw | Rostov |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% 2-1 @ 9.79% 2-0 @ 9.77% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.71% 3-0 @ 5.7% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.5% 4-0 @ 2.5% 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.71% Total : 54.96% | 1-1 @ 11.18% 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.53% | 0-1 @ 6.39% 1-2 @ 5.6% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.2% 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 1.74% Total : 21.51% |
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