SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Rostov win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Krylia Sovetov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Rostov |
38.17% ( -2.06) | 26.92% ( 0.11) | 34.91% ( 1.95) |
| Both teams to score 51.08% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.88% ( -0.13) | 54.12% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.46% ( -0.11) | 75.54% ( 0.11) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.46% ( -1.21) | 27.54% ( 1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.94% ( -1.59) | 63.06% ( 1.58) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.5% ( 1.19) | 29.5% ( -1.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.48% ( 1.43) | 65.51% ( -1.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Rostov |
| 1-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.25)2-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.44)3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.3)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.01% Total : 38.17% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.42)1-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.24)2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.47% Total : 34.91% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
