SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rostov | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
43.21% ( 1.69) | 25.24% ( -0.02) | 31.54% ( -1.67) |
| Both teams to score 55.65% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.15% ( -0.46) | 47.84% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.97% ( -0.42) | 70.02% ( 0.43) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.89% ( 0.61) | 22.1% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.53% ( 0.91) | 55.46% ( -0.91) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.43% ( -1.29) | 28.56% ( 1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.64% ( -1.65) | 64.35% ( 1.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rostov | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.39)3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.26)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.34% Total : 43.21% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.23)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.2)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.66% Total : 31.54% |
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