SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Baltika had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Baltika win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Baltika | Draw | Orenburg |
35.11% ( -0.02) | 25.86% ( -0) | 39.03% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.58% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.32% ( 0.01) | 49.67% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.31% ( 0.01) | 71.69% ( -0.01) |
| Baltika Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.78% ( -0.01) | 27.22% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.36% ( -0.01) | 62.64% ( 0.01) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.99% ( 0.02) | 25.01% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.33% ( 0.03) | 59.67% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Baltika | Draw | Orenburg |
| 1-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.5% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 3.01% Total : 35.11% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 9.43% 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.54% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.02% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 39.03% |
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