SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 59.85%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Baltika had a probability of 18.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Baltika win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for CSKA Moscow in this match.
| Result | ||
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Baltika |
59.85% ( -0.31) | 21.96% ( 0.1) | 18.18% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 51.89% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.08% ( -0.12) | 45.92% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.76% ( -0.12) | 68.23% ( 0.12) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.06% ( -0.14) | 14.94% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.67% ( -0.27) | 43.33% ( 0.27) |
| Baltika Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61% ( 0.17) | 39% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.28% ( 0.16) | 75.72% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Baltika |
| 1-0 @ 11.07% 2-0 @ 10.52% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.51% Total : 59.84% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.95% | 0-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 18.18% |
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