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Aug 6, 2022 at 3.30pm UK at VEB Arena
CSKA
4 - 1
Fakel
Kuchayev (57'), Medina (70' pen.), Chalov (72'), Carrascal (83')
Mukhin (56'), (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gongadze (42' pen.)
Gongadze (45+1')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between CSKA Moscow and Fakel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fakel 3-3 Dynamo Moscow
Saturday, July 30 at 1pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 56.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.

Result
CSKA MoscowDrawFakel
56.73% (0.028999999999996 0.03) 23.07% (-0.011999999999997 -0.01) 20.2% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.24% (0.021999999999998 0.02)47.76% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.05% (0.02 0.02)69.95% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
CSKA Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.38% (0.016999999999996 0.02)16.62% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.56% (0.032000000000004 0.03)46.44% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Fakel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)37.86% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)74.63% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    CSKA Moscow 56.72%
    Fakel 20.2%
    Draw 23.06%
CSKA MoscowDrawFakel
1-0 @ 11.29%
2-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.89% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.72% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 56.72%
1-1 @ 10.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.78%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.06%
0-1 @ 6.11% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.97% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.72% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 20.2%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 2-2 CSKA
Sunday, July 31 at 1pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: CSKA 3-0 Sochi
Saturday, July 23 at 1pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: CSKA 2-0 Ural
Saturday, July 16 at 1pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: CSKA 4-0 Rostov
Saturday, May 21 at 3pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krasnodar 1-0 CSKA
Sunday, May 15 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: CSKA 0-1 Sochi
Saturday, May 7 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Fakel 3-3 Dynamo Moscow
Saturday, July 30 at 1pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Akhmat Grozny 2-1 Fakel
Sunday, July 24 at 6pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krasnodar 2-2 Fakel
Sunday, July 17 at 6pm in Russian Premier League
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