Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 56.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.

Result
CSKA Moscow	Draw	Fakel
56.73% ( 0.03)	23.07% ( -0.01)	20.2% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 51.81% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.24% (

0.02)

47.76% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.05% (

0.02)

69.95% (

-0.02)

CSKA Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.38% (

0.02)

16.62% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.56% (

0.03)

46.44% (

-0.03)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.14% (

-0.01)

37.86% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.37% (

-0.01)

74.63% (

Score Analysis

CSKA Moscow 56.72%

Fakel 20.2%

Draw 23.06%

CSKA Moscow	Draw	Fakel
1-0 @ 11.29% 2-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.06% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.72% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 56.72%	1-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.78% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.06%	0-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.33% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.97% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.57% Total : 20.2%