Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 53.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 20.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11%) and 1-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 1-0 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
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