Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
FC Krasnodar	Draw	CSKA Moscow
33.04% ( -0.21)	25.15% ( -0.08)	41.81% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 56.53% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.06% (

0.3)

46.94% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.81% (

0.28)

69.19% (

-0.28)

FC Krasnodar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.83% (

0.01)

27.16% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.43% (

0.02)

62.56% (

-0.02)

CSKA Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.62% (

0.27)

22.38% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.11% (

0.4)

55.88% (

-0.4)

Score Analysis

FC Krasnodar 33.04%

CSKA Moscow 41.81%

Draw 25.14%

FC Krasnodar	Draw	CSKA Moscow
1-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 33.04%	1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.14%	0-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.88% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 41.81%