Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Sochi win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.

Result
CSKA Moscow	Draw	Sochi
42.03% ( 0.83)	27.84% ( 0.19)	30.13% ( -1.01)

Both teams to score 47.04% (

-0.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.38% (

-0.99)

58.62% (

0.99)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.82% (

-0.78)

79.18% (

0.78)

CSKA Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.48% (

-0.02)

27.52% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.97% (

-0.02)

63.03% (

0.03)

Sochi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.9% (

-1.27)

35.1% (

1.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.15% (

-1.36)

71.85% (

1.36)

Score Analysis

CSKA Moscow 42.03%

Sochi 30.13%

Draw 27.83%

CSKA Moscow	Draw	Sochi
1-0 @ 12.46% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.85% Total : 42.03%	1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.83%	0-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.12% Total : 30.13%