Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 63.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 14.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Rubin Kazan win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.
