SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 59.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 17.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for an Akhmat Grozny win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
59.71% ( 0.12) | 22.65% ( -0.06) | 17.64% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 48.72% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.36% ( 0.14) | 49.64% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.34% ( 0.13) | 71.66% ( -0.13) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.75% ( 0.09) | 16.25% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.23% ( 0.16) | 45.77% ( -0.16) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.17% ( 0.01) | 41.83% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.71% ( 0.01) | 78.29% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
| 1-0 @ 12.35% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2% Total : 59.71% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0)Other @ 0.83% Total : 22.65% | 0-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.36% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 1.84% Total : 17.64% |
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