SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 9 | 10 | 16 |
| 6 | Dynamo Moscow | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| 7 | Sochi | 9 | 1 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 9 | 24 | 23 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 9 | 13 | 20 |
| 3 | Rostov | 9 | 6 | 19 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 57.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 19.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Dynamo Moscow win it was 1-0 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
19.33% ( -0.38) | 23.51% ( 0.25) | 57.16% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 49.1% ( -1.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.33% ( -1.52) | 50.67% ( 1.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.42% ( -1.35) | 72.57% ( 1.36) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.52% ( -1.3) | 40.48% ( 1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.91% ( -1.2) | 77.09% ( 1.2) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.49% ( -0.5) | 17.51% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.98% ( -0.88) | 48.01% ( 0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 1-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.12% Total : 19.33% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.85% Total : 23.5% | 0-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.54) 0-2 @ 10.75% ( 0.3)1-2 @ 9.73% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 6.25% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 5.65% ( -0.13)0-4 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 2.46% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.09)0-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.62% Total : 57.14% |
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