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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 10am UK
Stadion Gazovik
F

Orenburg
1 - 2
Fakel

Vorobyev (76')
Basic (17'), Gojkovic (33'), Mansilla (63'), Sysuev (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Alshin (35'), Motpan (90+2')
Markov (45+3'), Masternoy (74')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Orenburg and Fakel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Baltika 1-0 Orenburg
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 0-0 Fakel
Sunday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 52.29%. A win for Fakel had a probability of 24.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Fakel win was 0-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
OrenburgDrawFakel
52.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 23.44%24.28% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.08% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.27% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)44.73% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)67.09% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.89% (0.00099999999999056 0)17.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.68% (0.0020000000000024 0)47.32% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Fakel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.66% (0.007000000000005 0.01)32.34% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.15% (0.010999999999999 0.01)68.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Orenburg 52.29%
    Fakel 24.28%
    Draw 23.43%
OrenburgDrawFakel
1-0 @ 9.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.63% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 5.73%
3-0 @ 5.08% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.53%
4-0 @ 2.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 52.29%
1-1 @ 11.02%
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.43%
0-1 @ 6.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 6.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.53%
1-3 @ 2.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 24.28%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Baltika 1-0 Orenburg
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 3-1 Zenit
Saturday, September 30 at 10am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 3-1 Orenburg
Sunday, September 24 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Lokomotiv 0-2 Orenburg
Sunday, September 17 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 3-0 Sochi
Sunday, September 3 at 11am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 1-1 CSKA
Friday, August 25 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 0-0 Fakel
Sunday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Fakel 2-0 Sochi
Sunday, October 1 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Fakel 0-1 Rubin Kazan
Monday, September 25 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Ural 0-0 Fakel
Sunday, September 17 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krylia Sovetov 3-0 Fakel
Saturday, September 2 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Fakel 0-0 Krasnodar
Friday, August 25 at 6pm in Russian Premier League


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