SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 48.58%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.35%) and 1-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Fakel win it was 1-0 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fakel | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
25.1% ( -0) | 26.32% | 48.58% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.04% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.29% ( -0) | 55.72% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.14% ( -0) | 76.86% ( 0) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.37% ( -0.01) | 37.63% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.59% ( -0.01) | 74.41% ( 0.01) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.03% ( 0) | 22.97% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.24% ( 0) | 56.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fakel | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 8.45% 2-1 @ 6.07% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.13% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.98% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 1.67% Total : 25.1% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 8.65% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0)Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 12.71% 0-2 @ 9.35% ( 0)1-2 @ 9.14% 0-3 @ 4.58% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.48% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.19% 0-4 @ 1.69% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.79% Total : 48.58% |
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