SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 46.33%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 26.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Krasnodar in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
46.33% ( -1.15) | 27.03% ( 0.54) | 26.65% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 47.31% ( -1.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.71% ( -1.59) | 57.29% ( 1.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.87% ( -1.28) | 78.13% ( 1.28) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.29% ( -1.24) | 24.71% ( 1.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.74% ( -1.76) | 59.26% ( 1.77) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.84% ( -0.36) | 37.16% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.05% ( -0.35) | 73.95% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
| 1-0 @ 12.83% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.36% Total : 46.32% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.54)2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.02% | 0-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.75% Total : 26.65% |
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