SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Sochi win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Sochi |
42.58% ( 0.05) | 26.25% ( -0.02) | 31.16% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.18% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.74% ( 0.05) | 52.26% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.04% ( 0.05) | 73.96% ( -0.04) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.67% ( 0.05) | 24.33% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.28% ( 0.07) | 58.72% ( -0.07) |
| Sochi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.96% ( 0) | 31.04% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.64% ( 0) | 67.36% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Sochi |
| 1-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 42.58% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.98% Total : 31.16% |
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