SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Orenburg | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 | Krylia Sovetov | 5 | -3 | 5 |
| 12 | Fakel | 5 | -4 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Krylia Sovetov | 5 | -3 | 5 |
| 12 | Fakel | 5 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 5 | -8 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 54.32%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 21.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Fakel |
54.32% ( -0.02) | 23.99% ( 0.01) | 21.69% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.1% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.21% ( -0.02) | 49.78% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.21% ( -0.02) | 71.78% ( 0.02) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.77% ( -0.02) | 18.23% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.74% ( -0.03) | 49.25% ( 0.03) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.49% ( -0) | 37.5% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.71% ( -0) | 74.28% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Fakel |
| 1-0 @ 11.63% 2-0 @ 9.9% 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.62% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.39% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 3.34% Total : 54.31% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0)Other @ 0.98% Total : 23.99% | 0-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.6% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 1.64% Total : 21.69% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
