Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 48.37%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.

Result
Ural Yekaterinburg	Draw	Spartak Moscow
26.56% ( 0.01)	25.06% ( 0)	48.37% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 53.06% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.23% (

-0.01)

49.76% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.22% (

-0.01)

71.77% (

0.01)

Ural Yekaterinburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.83% (

-0)

33.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.22% (

-0)

69.77% (

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.4% (

-0.01)

20.6% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.85% (

-0.02)

53.14% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Ural Yekaterinburg 26.56%

Spartak Moscow 48.37%

Draw 25.06%

Ural Yekaterinburg	Draw	Spartak Moscow
1-0 @ 7.54% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.57% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.16% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 26.56%	1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.06%	0-1 @ 10.79% 1-2 @ 9.41% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.53% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.96% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.49% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.77% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 48.37%