SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Rubin Kazan | 29 | -21 | 29 |
| 15 | FC Ufa | 29 | -12 | 27 |
| 16 | Arsenal Tula | 29 | -28 | 23 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Spartak Moscow | 29 | -3 | 38 |
| 11 | Ural Yekaterinburg | 29 | -9 | 30 |
| 12 | Nizhny Novgorod | 29 | -14 | 30 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Tula win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Tula win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Tula | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
43.53% ( -0.13) | 26.46% ( -0.02) | 30.01% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.02% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.48% ( 0.15) | 53.52% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.97% ( 0.12) | 75.03% ( -0.13) |
| Arsenal Tula Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.59% ( -0) | 24.41% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.17% ( 0) | 58.83% ( -0) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.49% ( 0.19) | 32.51% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.96% ( 0.21) | 69.03% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Tula | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
| 1-0 @ 11.18% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.17% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 43.52% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.63% Total : 30.01% |
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