SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
43.9% ( -0.28) | 27.16% ( 0.09) | 28.93% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 48.37% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.35% ( -0.24) | 56.65% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.38% ( -0.2) | 77.61% ( 0.19) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.37% ( -0.25) | 25.63% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.48% ( -0.34) | 60.52% ( 0.34) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.03% ( 0.02) | 34.96% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.29% ( 0.02) | 71.7% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 12.2% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.23% Total : 43.9% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.16% | 0-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.13% Total : 28.93% |
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