SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 59.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 19.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 1-0 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a FC Krasnodar win it was 1-2 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
59.82% ( -0.2) | 20.27% ( 0.02) | 19.91% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 60.96% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.54% ( 0.18) | 35.47% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.49% ( 0.2) | 57.51% ( -0.2) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.4% | 11.6% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.41% ( 0) | 36.59% |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.96% ( 0.28) | 31.04% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.65% ( 0.32) | 67.36% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.07)1-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.78% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.63% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.62% Total : 59.82% | 1-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.28% Total : 20.27% | 1-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.21% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 19.91% |
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