SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 81.5%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Sochi had a probability of 6.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.42%) and 1-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.81%), while for a Sochi win it was 0-1 (2.07%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Sochi |
81.5% ( 0.08) | 12.27% ( -0.04) | 6.23% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 45.71% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.37% ( 0.08) | 32.62% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.71% ( 0.09) | 54.29% ( -0.09) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.94% ( 0.03) | 6.05% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.97% ( 0.08) | 23.03% ( -0.08) |
| Sochi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.65% ( -0.04) | 51.35% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.43% ( -0.02) | 85.57% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Sochi |
| 2-0 @ 12.22% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.62% 4-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 3% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0)6-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 3.7% Total : 81.48% | 1-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.64% Total : 12.27% | 0-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 6.23% |
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