SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 71.55%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 10.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.26%) and 0-3 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.39%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 1-0 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
10.82% ( 0.37) | 17.64% ( -0.09) | 71.55% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 46.98% ( 1.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.56% ( 1.47) | 42.44% ( -1.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.16% ( 1.45) | 64.85% ( -1.44) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.52% ( 1.66) | 47.49% ( -1.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.15% ( 1.21) | 82.85% ( -1.2) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.46% ( 0.33) | 10.54% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.74% ( 0.73) | 34.26% ( -0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 1-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.58% Total : 10.82% | 1-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.33)2-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.73% Total : 17.64% | 0-2 @ 12.66% ( -0.49) 0-1 @ 11.26% ( -0.59)0-3 @ 9.5% ( -0.23)1-2 @ 9.44% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 7.08% ( 0.16)0-4 @ 5.34% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 3.98% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.18)0-5 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.79% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.12)0-6 @ 0.9% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.07% Total : 71.54% |
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