SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 8 | 16 | 20 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 9 | 13 | 20 |
| 3 | FC Krasnodar | 9 | 5 | 17 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | Orenburg | 8 | -6 | 9 |
| 13 | Khimki | 9 | -6 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 84.46%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 4.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.03%) and 4-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.03%), while for a Orenburg win it was 0-1 (1.68%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Orenburg |
84.46% ( -0.01) | 10.61% ( 0) | 4.93% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 43.93% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.88% ( -0.02) | 30.12% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.66% ( -0.03) | 51.33% ( 0.03) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.96% ( -0) | 5.04% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.9% ( -0.01) | 20.1% ( 0.01) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.26% ( -0.01) | 53.74% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.89% ( -0.01) | 87.11% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Orenburg |
| 2-0 @ 12.08% 3-0 @ 12.03% 4-0 @ 8.99% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7.51% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.48% ( -0)4-1 @ 5.59% ( -0)5-0 @ 5.37% ( -0)5-1 @ 3.34% ( -0)6-0 @ 2.68% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.66% ( -0)7-0 @ 1.14% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 3.4% Total : 84.44% | 1-1 @ 5.03% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.71% ( 0)2-2 @ 2.33% ( -0)Other @ 0.54% Total : 10.61% | 0-1 @ 1.68% ( 0) 1-2 @ 1.56% ( 0)Other @ 1.69% Total : 4.93% |
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