Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 42.76%. A win for FC Ufa had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.43%) and 1-2 (8.3%). The likeliest FC Ufa win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochi would win this match.
