Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 55.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Sochi had a probability of 21.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Sochi win it was 1-0 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.