Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for FC Ufa had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest FC Ufa win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
