While Vitoria's men managed to pull off a surprise win in Naples, we cannot see the same outcome happening on Wednesday.
Spalletti's men should have too much quality for their hosts, and, given the two sides' form this season so far, they boast far more momentum and will be fighting to keep hold of top spot.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 53.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 22.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.82%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Spartak Moscow win it was 1-0 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
