Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 83.66%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 5.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.86%) and 4-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.23%), while for a Khimki win it was 0-1 (1.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
