SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 89.12%. A draw had a probability of 7.5% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 3.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10.04%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.48%), while for a Khimki win it was 1-2 (1.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Khimki |
89.12% ( 0.1) | 7.54% ( -0.08) | 3.34% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.63% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78.53% ( 0.33) | 21.47% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 59.83% ( 0.46) | 40.17% ( -0.46) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.08% ( 0.06) | 2.93% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 86.74% ( 0.21) | 13.26% ( -0.22) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.01% ( 0.21) | 52.99% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.36% ( 0.13) | 86.65% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Khimki |
| 3-0 @ 11.38% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 10.04% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.05)6-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.04)6-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)7-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)7-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.03)8-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.23% Total : 89.11% | 1-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 1.95% ( -0)0-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.56% Total : 7.54% | 1-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.25% Total : 3.34% |
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