Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
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