SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 52.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 23.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotiv Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
52.39% ( -0.01) | 24.37% | 23.24% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.9% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.31% ( 0.01) | 49.69% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.3% ( 0.01) | 71.7% ( -0) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.07% | 18.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.56% ( -0) | 50.44% ( 0) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.02% ( 0.01) | 35.97% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.25% ( 0.01) | 72.75% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% 2-1 @ 9.64% 2-0 @ 9.43% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.35% 3-0 @ 5.23% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.23% 4-0 @ 2.18% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.12% Total : 52.39% | 1-1 @ 11.58% 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.36% | 0-1 @ 6.96% 1-2 @ 5.92% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.56% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 23.24% |
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