SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
40.73% ( -0.01) | 24.95% ( -0) | 34.32% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.56% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.24% ( 0.01) | 45.76% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.93% ( 0.01) | 68.07% ( -0.01) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.6% ( 0) | 22.4% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.09% ( 0) | 55.91% ( -0) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.18% ( 0.02) | 25.82% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.22% ( 0.02) | 60.78% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.65% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.47% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.37% 3-0 @ 3.23% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.32% Total : 40.73% | 1-1 @ 11.71% 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.78% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.95% | 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.83% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.3% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 34.32% |
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