SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ural Yekaterinburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
38.1% ( -0.02) | 25.73% ( -0.05) | 36.16% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.14% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51% ( 0.22) | 49% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.91% ( 0.2) | 71.08% ( -0.2) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.8% ( 0.09) | 25.19% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.07% ( 0.13) | 59.93% ( -0.13) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.71% ( 0.14) | 26.28% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.6% ( 0.18) | 61.4% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
| 1-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 38.1% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.27% Total : 36.16% |
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