Arsenal Tula
3 - 1
Lokomotiv

Khlusevich (17'), Markov (40'), Kostadinov (58')
Kostadinov (73'), Khlusevich (78'), Kambolov (85')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Pablo (90+3')
Rybus (52'), Jedvaj (61'), Lisakovich (71')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Arsenal Tula and Lokomotiv Moscow.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 49.14%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 24.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.36%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for an Arsenal Tula win it was 1-0 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal Tula	Draw	Lokomotiv Moscow
24.87%	25.99%	49.14%

Both teams to score 48.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.33%

54.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24%

76%

Arsenal Tula Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.74%

37.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.96%

74.04%

Lokomotiv Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.71%

22.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.26%

55.74%

Score Analysis

Arsenal Tula 24.87%

Lokomotiv Moscow 49.13%

Draw 25.99%

Arsenal Tula	Draw	Lokomotiv Moscow
1-0 @ 8.2% 2-1 @ 6.08% 2-0 @ 4.05% 3-1 @ 2% 3-2 @ 1.5% 3-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.72% Total : 24.87%	1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 8.3% 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.99%	0-1 @ 12.46% 0-2 @ 9.36% 1-2 @ 9.24% 0-3 @ 4.68% 1-3 @ 4.62% 2-3 @ 2.28% 0-4 @ 1.76% 1-4 @ 1.74% Other @ 3% Total : 49.13%