SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 53.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 22.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.92%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 1-0 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
22.03% ( 0.02) | 24.37% ( -0.02) | 53.6% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 50.41% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.07% ( 0.09) | 50.93% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.19% ( 0.08) | 72.8% ( -0.08) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.18% ( 0.07) | 37.82% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.41% ( 0.07) | 74.59% ( -0.07) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.06% ( 0.03) | 18.94% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.55% ( 0.06) | 50.45% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.39% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 1.6% Total : 22.03% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.93% Total : 24.36% | 0-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 9.92% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.64% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.5% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.35% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.29% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 53.59% |
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