SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nizhny Novgorod win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
38.93% ( -0.02) | 27.31% ( -0) | 33.76% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.69% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.2% ( 0) | 55.8% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.08% ( 0) | 76.92% ( -0) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.1% ( -0.01) | 27.9% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.48% ( -0.02) | 63.52% ( 0.01) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.93% ( 0.02) | 31.07% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.61% ( 0.02) | 67.4% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
| 1-0 @ 11.06% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.06% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.01% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 1.9% Total : 38.93% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 8.67% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.3% | 0-1 @ 10.13% 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.92% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0)Other @ 3.01% Total : 33.75% |
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