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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 28
May 22, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stade Municipal 1

Nizhny Novgorod
4 - 0
Sochi

Aleksandrov (51'), Rybchinsky (62'), Krotov (86'), Kakkoev (90+3')
Sevikyan (59'), Mikhailov (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Drkusic (47'), Margasov (60')
Drkusic (70')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Nizhny Novgorod and Sochi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fakel 1-0 Nizhny Novgorod
Sunday, May 14 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Sochi 1-0 Rostov
Sunday, May 14 at 5pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 36.69%. A win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Nizhny NovgorodDrawSochi
36.25% (0.132 0.13) 27.06% (-0.116 -0.12) 36.69% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.72% (0.368 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.38% (0.462 0.46)54.62% (-0.461 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.04% (0.38 0.38)75.95% (-0.381 -0.38)
Nizhny Novgorod Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.08% (0.30399999999999 0.3)28.92% (-0.304 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.2% (0.375 0.38)64.8% (-0.375 -0.38)
Sochi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.35% (0.215 0.22)28.65% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.54% (0.266 0.27)64.46% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Nizhny Novgorod 36.24%
    Sochi 36.68%
    Draw 27.05%
Nizhny NovgorodDrawSochi
1-0 @ 10.27% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 7.97% (0.04 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.3% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.64% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 36.24%
1-1 @ 12.84% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.28% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 10.35% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 8.03% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.47% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.35% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.7%
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.035 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 36.68%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Fakel 1-0 Nizhny Novgorod
Sunday, May 14 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 0-0 Ural
Sunday, May 7 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 1-0 Nizhny Novgorod
Sunday, April 30 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 2-1 Krylia Sovetov
Sunday, April 23 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 3-1 Nizhny Novgorod
Saturday, April 15 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krasnodar 3-1 Nizhny Novgorod
Sunday, April 9 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Sochi 1-0 Rostov
Sunday, May 14 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Lokomotiv 3-0 Sochi
Monday, May 8 at 3pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Sochi 3-1 Torpedo Moskva
Sunday, April 30 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Akhmat Grozny 1-0 Sochi
Sunday, April 23 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Sochi 0-2 Krasnodar
Saturday, April 15 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Sochi 1-2 Krylia Sovetov
Sunday, April 9 at 12pm in Russian Premier League


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