SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
32.39% ( -0.42) | 26.32% ( 0.12) | 41.28% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 52.44% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.86% ( -0.59) | 52.14% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.14% ( -0.51) | 73.86% ( 0.51) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.86% ( -0.56) | 30.14% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.71% ( -0.68) | 66.29% ( 0.69) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.06% ( -0.11) | 24.94% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.43% ( -0.15) | 59.57% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
| 1-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.22% Total : 32.4% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 10.43% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 8.69% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 41.27% |
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