Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 48.81%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Rostov win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Orenburg	Draw	Rostov
48.81% ( -0.38)	23.95% ( 0.25)	27.24% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 57.27% (

-0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.51% (

-1)

44.49% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.14% (

-0.97)

66.86% (

0.98)

Orenburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.66% (

-0.53)

18.34% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.56% (

-0.91)

49.44% (

0.92)

Rostov Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.13% (

-0.41)

29.87% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.04% (

-0.5)

65.96% (

0.51)

Score Analysis

Orenburg 48.81%

Rostov 27.24%

Draw 23.94%

Orenburg	Draw	Rostov
2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.47% Total : 48.81%	1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.23) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.94%	1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 4% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.18% Total : 27.24%