SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 27.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
46.43% ( -1.44) | 26.15% ( 0.34) | 27.41% ( 1.1) |
| Both teams to score 50.38% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.4% ( -0.63) | 53.59% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.9% ( -0.53) | 75.09% ( 0.53) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.94% ( -0.92) | 23.05% ( 0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.12% ( -1.37) | 56.87% ( 1.37) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.47% ( 0.56) | 34.52% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.75% ( 0.59) | 71.24% ( -0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 11.67% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.25)3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.88% Total : 46.42% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0)Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.19% Total : 27.41% |
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