Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for CSKA Moscow in this match.

Result
Krylia Sovetov	Draw	CSKA Moscow
30.84% ( -0.7)	26.55% ( 0.2)	42.61% ( 0.5)

Both teams to score 51.12% (

-0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.43% (

-1.05)

53.57% (

1.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.92% (

-0.89)

75.08% (

0.9)

Krylia Sovetov Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.06% (

-1.03)

31.94% (

1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.61% (

-1.19)

68.39% (

1.19)

CSKA Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.1% (

-0.21)

24.9% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.48% (

-0.3)

59.52% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Krylia Sovetov 30.84%

CSKA Moscow 42.6%

Draw 26.55%

Krylia Sovetov	Draw	CSKA Moscow
1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.77% Total : 30.84%	1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.55%	0-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 4.07% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.49% Total : 42.6%