Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 59.56%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 18.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Dynamo Moscow win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
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