Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
