Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 23.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Khimki win it was 1-0 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
