Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 51.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 24.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Lokomotiv Moscow win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
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