SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 54.56%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 22.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Orenburg win it was 1-0 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Orenburg | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
22.04% ( -0.05) | 23.4% ( -0.05) | 54.56% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 53.46% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.11% ( 0.2) | 46.89% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.85% ( 0.18) | 69.15% ( -0.18) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.46% ( 0.07) | 35.54% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.7% ( 0.07) | 72.3% ( -0.07) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.92% ( 0.11) | 17.08% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.74% ( 0.19) | 47.25% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orenburg | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 1-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.98% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 22.04% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.39% | 0-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 9.48% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.78% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.59% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.55% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 54.56% |
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