SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 51.83%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Orenburg |
51.83% ( 0.43) | 22.94% ( -0.07) | 25.24% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 58.84% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.44% ( -0.01) | 41.57% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.04% ( -0.01) | 63.97% ( 0.02) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.89% ( 0.15) | 16.12% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.47% ( 0.27) | 45.54% ( -0.26) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.14% ( -0.28) | 29.86% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.05% ( -0.35) | 65.96% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Orenburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.48% Total : 51.83% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.81% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.13% Total : 25.24% |
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