Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Krylia Sovetov win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rostov in this match.
