Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Khimki had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Khimki win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
